Alok Pattani of ESPN Stats and Info rejoins the podcast to break down the new college football playoffs process. Alok explains the statistics he and his colleagues at ESPN developed to frame the on-air debate over which teams are the “best” vs. which teams “deserve” to be selected by the playoff committee. Dave and Alok analyze the first set of rankings released this week while Alok shares takeaways from his conversations with committee representatives and makes his probabilistic predictions for which teams will make the “Football Final Four”.Subscribe on iTunes and Stitcher
In the 94-year history of the National Football League over 14,000 games have been played. And in every game but two a punt has occurred (the recent Packers-Bears game in Week 4 was one of these rare occurrences). It seems as if these events that occur so often in the NFL have been left unstudied. How much is a punt actually worth in the NFL and who are the best at doing it?
To do this, I looked at over 3,000 punts from the last five seasons (Advanced…
The relative merit of passing and running has been an ongoing debate for generations. Early attempts to quantify the risks and rewards of the two general tactics did what they could using yards as a measure of effectiveness, but they could never fully account for the all the situational factors and outcome variables. How to account for down, distance, field position, sacks, turnovers, penalties, first down conversions, and so on made the problem too complex. And that’s before we even start to think about score and time.
Since 2008, EPA and WPA has allowed us to account for all the primary…
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Brian Burke is back for the final AFA podcast of the 2014-15 NFL season. Brian and Dave discuss the Patriots deflated ball controversy with a quick recap of high school physics before analyzing the key analytical storylines of Super Bowl XLIX.