By now you’re very familiar with our Live Win Probability graphs. Just in case these are new to you, the graphs convey each team’s probability of winning the game in real time based on the current game scenario including score, time remaining, field position, down, and to go distance.
If you’re like me, on Sundays you've got a laptop in front of you with too many tabs open watching the WP graphs and checking twitter for the latest commentary from smart analysts. But sometimes I'm not in the AFA Command Center and I've only got my phone or tablet. That's why I teamed up with the developers…
Originally posted at harvardsportsanalysis.org
After the Philadelphia Eagles close loss to the Arizona Cardinals a few weeks back, Eagles players and coaches blamed much of their failure on turning the ball over in the red zone. “You turn the ball over twice inside the red zone,” Head Coach Chip Kelly stated, “you’re gonna lose the football game.” Other coaches denounce red zone turnovers with equal or greater fervor, such as when Jay Gruden went so far as to call them “inexcusable” after the Redskins-Texans matchup in September.
While conventional football wisdom states that red zone turnovers…
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Brian Burke is back for the final AFA podcast of the 2014-15 NFL season. Brian and Dave discuss the Patriots deflated ball controversy with a quick recap of high school physics before analyzing the key analytical storylines of Super Bowl XLIX.