WOPR Simulator Update

Thanks to a lot of very helpful feedback I've been able to make some good changes to the sim. Not all the problems reported were actual discrepancies, but most were. I was surprised there weren't any really bad bugs--things like after a TD return the wrong team got credit for the XP. Instead, there were several strategic nuances that the sim wasn't handling as well as I'd like. For example, the offense was spiking the ball too often. I'll detail the updates below.

The demo on the sim will continue, and I appreciate any more feedback you have. You can leave comments here or on the original demo post from last week. As with any software fix, the solution usually creates some other unintended problem, so please give it another whirl.

It's also looking more likely that I'll be able to host some sort of limited version of the sim that will allow multiple replications. In other words, you'd be able to run a bunch of games from the same starting point to get an estimate of simulated win probability. The real value of a sim is in its "excursions," that is, alternate specifications of the model that can be compared. For example, an excursion would be setting up the sim to start the 2-minute offense for one team at 5 min to play rather than 2 min to play. We could compare how often that team wins in each specification, and then perhaps gain some insight into why the results come out as they do. 

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