website statistics

Weekly game probabilities for week 9 are now up at Sports on Earth. Probabilities are  purely based on current-season stats including core efficiency rates, turnover rates, penalty rates, and are adjusted for opponent strength to-date.

Please remember that the projected scores are not to be taken terribly seriously. Do not bet the mortgage on them as they are not intended to graded against the spread. They are simply a "maximum-plausibility" estimate given respective team scoring tendencies.

Leave your comments

Post comment as a guest

0

Comments (1)

  • Guest - Matt

    Can someone explain to me why Miami was only favored by the machine at 60% over San Diego? According to the most recent team efficiency rankings, Miami has a GWP of 0.62 to San Diego's 0.50 -- implying that at a neutral venue Miami should beat San Diego 62 percent of the time, right? On top of this, Miami was home last week. So shouldn't the win percentage have been somewhere between 62 and 70?